Analysis of my Report Card: 2011-2012 Term 1
The most striking event in this school year is the first phase of BC teacher strike, that means, teachers in British Columbia will not give out report cards. However, in the end, I still got my marks on the most important subjects.
Out of boredom, and with a mind of Minesweeper solver, I looked at my partial report card, from some teachers that flash students’ marks for 1 day.
There are many sources of information when analyzing a report card. First, it is the report card itself, which can be analyzed by extrapolating trends, and second, the nature of the subject on top of your skills, for example, some subjects get really difficult in grade 11, and third, the quality of the teacher, I had 2 bad Social Studies teachers and 1 bad Math teacher, and they dropped my grades by 5% respectively (may or may not drop my letter grade, however), and lastly, personal behavior about the subject.
The first part of extrapolating is similar to technical analysis in investing. One important property to look is “grade inertia“: the tendency for a grade to stay constant. I used the word inertia because I just learning that term in physics and also because there is a term called “market inertia”. More inertia may also imply higher predictability, or also a sign that you are not increasing or decrease your effort.
It is important to know what will happen in next year’s subject. For example, I may be taking many AP courses next year, and reading the AP website to get what to expect is important. This year’s English is about literature, which is what I hated, but next year’s English is about writing, which is what I wanted to learn. For elective subjects, the natures tend to stay constant.
A student’s grade can be modeled as a flatline or jumping function + several random functions, where the flatline or jumping function reflects the student’s aptitude and the nature of the courses, and the random functions represent the qualities of teachers and other personal factors. Academic subjects tend to be influenced by aptitude and electives tend to be influenced by teacher qualities.
Why analyze report cards? Before answering this question, I must introduce the “observer effect”, where observing something changes it. People know that getting a bad grade will make him/her work harder next time, or it may bust his morale, report card analysis may affect morale, therefore grade, more. The first reason to analyze report cards is to harness the observer effect and influence his/her effort, and second, information is power. While you will never be certain after analyzing, but in the end, you knew that affected your grades.
Here is an analysis of my report card. Before beginning the analysis, let me show some previous grades relevant to my current performance:
- English 9 (94%, way too fun and easy)
- English 10 (H)onors
- 82% (a test saved me)
- 70% (a test killed me)
- unknown (went through training, and showed a sign of improving)
- 80% at provincial exam (luck and result of training)
- 80% total
- Social Studies 9 (went though a B, got A in the end)
- Social Studies 10 (B (decreasing to C+ at Term 3))
- Science 9 (94% (increasing at Term 3 due to awareness of effort))
- Science 10
- 100% (chemistry)
- ~98% (physics and biology)
- 95% (biology and Earth science))
Below is the analysis.
- Math 12 (98%): I finished all homework and wrote all of my tests with my best methods, on top of a non-strict teacher, I got a straightforward result of being first in the class. In future tests, my previous test-taking methods may not work well. Luck factor: medium, Prediction: stay
- Physics 11H (97%): 4th in the class. I constantly fear getting non-100% on my tests. Even worse, my first lab and my first test in Term 2 are all non-100%. I infer the cause to be not writing my last name on my lab. Predictions: fall to 95% (based on initial Term 2 results and Science 10 patterns) and stay (based on the pattern that I will get better marks next time, agree to grade inertia)
- Chemistry 11H (96%, predicted before I even got into Chem: 92%): It seems I got lucky on my second test (49/50, but first test is ~42/50). However, Chemistry is still a Minesweeper game to me, I can make inferences, but there are chances of failing. Predictions: fall to 92% (I won’t get lucky next time), stay (agree to grade inertia)
- English Literature 12H (72%): English is my worst subject, after making the blunder of taking Honors. Strong tendency of getting around 72% has been observed. One explanation is that I my effort is constant throughout the term (in my mom’s words: that I did not work hard enough) my grade sticks to it. Predictions: rise (different types of literature are analyzed in different terms, according to English 10/11 Honors, and skills differ), stay (from grade inertia)
- Social Studies 11 (88%, mid-term prediction: 85%, initial prediction: 82%): There are many assignments marked out of 30 and 40, and I got decent results on tests and projects, plus the teacher is much better than last-year’s, and last, I was confident about the performance of my second test. Predictions: fall (the teacher claimed that it will be harder in next terms, and it agreed to my Social Studies 10 performance plus there was a mapping assignment which was a dead easy mark), stay (but my test mark will be rising)
- Innovative Curriculum Design (82%): I think I am obligated to mention this because many people did not recommend me to take this course. There is a year-long research project called Learning in Depth, and not everyone enjoy it. One person claimed that it dropped her GPA, my explanation is that there are only few assignments marked, and I missed one by accident. I did my term end presentation with confidence, and even did not look at my paper, but I still got below my expectation. Predictions: rise (that mistake will not happen again)
- Biology 11 (88%): Took it in my summer school, and it had strong inertia. Explanation is same as for English Lit..
One last thing to mention is grade crisis. Grade crises can happen like accidents (getting from high to low abruptly), or happening for a long time (like economic recessions). They happen when a grade reaches below expectations. For me, English and Social Studies were constant centers of attention and sources of conflicts. My English 10 grade was so threatened that I got my writing trained, while my Social Studies and Math grade, my mom mentioned, and took no action, which for me, there was no action to perform because I suffered from bad teachers. Solutions to the problem appear as you analyze the causes.

